DVD's? I could be wrong, but...

sgilliam@GUILFORD.EDU
Wed, 23 Aug 2000 14:51:14 -0700 (PDT)

An interesting thread. It costs very little to get started with a few
dvd's and players,
to see if it gets off the ground at your institution.

Historical Perspective:
Looking back on VHS...it has been with us for about 18 years, and seems to
still be
going strong. Statistics quoted in another post show that VHS players
have been outselling
DVD players 4 to 1. You can now buy low end VHS players at WalMart for
$60.00!!
It has been a very robust and wildly popular technology, really pervasive,
enabling people to
record tv shows, make their own movies, have them shown on news programs.
and they canwatch
feature films on "home theatres," etc., ..It spawned several tv programs
such as : "world's funniest..." etc.

Wild Speculation:
Could we posit an axiom something like..."no popular new medium will
immediately replace the popular one it supercedes... there will be several
generations of coexisting technologies"...If so, both DVD and VHS will be
with us
for a number of years. Video rentals have not killed movie theatres. In
schools,16mm educational films had a life of over 50 years. (This idea
needs polishing...)

Mantra:
However....the undercurrent is..(chant this)...
"everything is going digital...everything is going digital"...
"everything is going digital...everything is going digital"..."everything
is going digital...everything is going digital"..."everything is going
digital...everything is going digital"..."everything is going
digital...everything is going digital"..."everything is going
digital...everything is going digital"..."everything is going
digital...everything is going digital"...
(Descant: "And we above a certain age are uncomfortable with the high rate
of change.")

A Visit to Wal-Mart:
DVD players are under $200 now...I don't think this medium will suffer the
fate of laserdiscs and some others
which never reached a popular price point.
So, especially since new computers will be able to play dvds, cd roms, and
audio cd's in the same drive...
and there are or will be outboard drives that can do this...and digital TV
is on the horizon, and you can now
buy $500 CD burners at walmart...willl it be long before you can RECORD a
DVD as well as play one back?